摘要
基于预期未来人口密度加速增长和绿色GDP(GGDP)重启的背景,参考2004年国家绿色经济核算公告,核算出各省2004-2013年的绿色经济发展水平,然后运用面板模型分析了人口密度、能源消费、绿色经济发展间的关系,并检验了能源消费的调节效应与中介效应。研究结果表明:沿海经济发达省市和部分化石能源较贫乏省市绿色经济发展水平较高;主要化石能源开采省市绿色经济发展水平较低;人口密度与能源消费、绿色经济发展均呈倒"U"型曲线关系且人口密度的拐点值都大于现实值;能源消费与绿色经济发展呈线性关系且在人口密度与绿色经济发展间起到部分中介效应,而调节效应并不显著。
Based on the acceleration of the expected future population density growth and the backgroundof green GDP（GGDP） restart, with the reference to the 2004 national green economic accounting announcement, the level of GGDP in each province was accounted. Then, with the utilization of the panel regression model, the relationship among population density, energy consumption, GGDP as well as the moderating effect and mediating effect of energy consumption were analyzed. The results show that the coastal economically developed provinces and some provinces with poor fossil energy had relatively higher GGDP, while the main provinces with lower fossil energy extraction had lower GGDP. Population density shows the inverted ＂U＂ curve relationship with both the en- ergy consumption and GGDP, and the population density inflection values were much greater than the reality values. Energy consumption had a linear relationship with GGDP. Energy consumption played a partial mediating effect, but had not significant moderating effect on relationship between population density and green economic development.
作者
王锋
李紧想
陈进国
刘娟
吴从新
WANG Feng LI Jinxiang CHEN Jinguo LIU Juan WU Congxin(School of Management, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221116, China)
出处
《干旱区资源与环境》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2017年第1期6-12,共7页
Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment
基金
国家自然科学基金面上项目(71673270)
国家自然科学基金青年项目(71403268)
教育部人文社会科学研究项目(14YJCZH146)
江苏省社会科学基金项目(12GLC009)
全国统计科学研究项目(2015LY14
2014LZ26)
中央高校基本科研业务费资助项目(2014WB15)资助
关键词
绿色经济发展
能源消费
人口密度
中介效应
green economic development
energy consumption
population density
mediating effect
