摘要
基于对Romer增长阻力模型的修正,运用2004-2012年省际面板数据,实证分析了我国农业水土资源的增长阻力。结果表明:各要素对农业产出弹性大小依次为土地、资本、劳动和水资源;农业增长并未因水土资源供应不足而速度降低,反而因水土资源的年均消耗增速而增加。这一"悖论"是我国经济由异质"二元"向同质"一元"、由传统农业向现代农业转换,以及我国整体经济实力增加带来的对良好生态环境偏好提高的结果,符合我国农业经济发展过程。结论不仅印证了考察期内农业仍存在一定粗放增长方式的事实,也与新背景下调减水土资源促进农业"转方式、调结构"的节奏吻合。
Based on Modifying Romer＇s growth model of resistance,using the provincial panel data from Year 2004 to 2012,empirical analysis is made on the growth drag of agricultural soil and water resources in china.The result shows that the output elasticity of each factor is land,capital,labor and water resources respectively.The growth of agriculture has not been reduced due to the shortage of water and soil resources,but it has been increasing due to the annual consumption of water and soil resources.This＂paradox＂results from the fact that the economy of our country is changing from the heterogeneous dual economic structure to homogeneous economic structure,from traditional agriculture to modern agriculture,and also from the fact that the improvement of China＇s overall economic strength raises our preference for good ecological environment,which is in line with the development of China＇s agricultural economy.The conclusion not only confirms the fact that there is still a certain way of extensive growth in agriculture in the period of inspection,but also coincides with the rhythm of reducing water and soil resources to promote the mode transfer and the structure adjustment under the new background.
出处
《福建行政学院学报》
2017年第1期88-98,共11页
Journal of Fujian Administration Institute
基金
中国水产科学研究院基本科研业务费专项资金项目(2016C012)
中国社会科学院国情调研重大项目
国家林业局大熊猫国际基金科学研究类项目(EB1416)
关键词
水土资源
农业增长
增长阻力
water and soil resources
agricultural growth
growth resistance
