摘要
随着广东省对外开放程度的不断提升,外商直接投资已成为拉动区域经济增长的重要外部引擎,并对区域经济转型与结构调整产生显著影响。选取1979—2014年广东省外商直接投资(FDI)和生产总值(GDP)数据并构建VECM模型,采用协整检验、脉冲响应、格兰杰检验等方法研究FDI和经济增长之间的长短期关系。结果表明:长期中,广东省外商直接投资与区域经济增长间具有正向的稳定均衡关系;短期中,外商直接投资对经济增长的影响程度比较显著,成为影响广东省经济增长的重要外向型因素。
With the expanding progress of Guangdong Province’ s opening up, FDI has gradually developed into an important external engine for driving regional economic growth, and has a significant impact on the regional economic restructuring and structural adjustment. This paper selected the FDI and GDP data of Guangdong Province from 1979 to 2014, constructed the VECM model, used the cointegration test, impulse response and the Granger test to make empirical study on the long and short term relationship between FDI and economic growth, the results show that in the long term, there is a positive equilibrium relationship between FDI and economic growth; At the same time, FDI has significant impact on the economic growth in the short term, become an important export-oriented factor for Guangdong Province’ s economic growth.
出处
《地域研究与开发》
CSSCI
北大核心
2016年第6期17-20,60,共5页
Areal Research and Development
基金
教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(13YJA790066)
北京市哲学社会科学规划一般项目(12JGB020)
首都经济贸易大学研究生科技创新重点项目(CUEB2015-066)
