摘要
社会保障是一国的安全网、减震器,高水平、全覆盖、健全的社会保障体系是保证人民生活幸福,共享经济社会发展成果,实现社会和谐的重要制度保障。山西省属于我国中部地区,以经济发展为主要支撑的社会保障水平与东部地区差距明显,本文以山西省2005年至2014年相关经济统计指标的时间序列数据为样本区间,运用计量经济学理论,建立了相关的多元线性回归模型和误差修正模型,分析社会发展长期过程和短期过程中影响山西省社会保障水平的各因素。研究结果表明:长期内,城镇人口比重和财政性社会保障支出对社会保障水平有显著性影响;短期内,财政性社会保障支出对社会保障水平影响较为显著。
Social security is safety net for a country, and a high - degree, all - covered, well - established social security system is an important policy which guarantees the well - being of people, sharing of development achieve- ments and social harmony. The social security level of Shanxi, located in the middle of China, is much lower than east areas, since social security is mainly supported by economic development. The paper, sampling related economic statistics index data ordered by time from 2005 to 2014 in Shanxi, with the application of econometrics, builds up related multiple linear regression models and error correction models, and makes an analysis on influence factors of social security in Shanxi in long - and - short - term of social development. Research results indicate ： in the long term, the percentage of urban residents and fiscal social security expenditure would remarkably influence on social security; in the short term, fiscal social securitv exnenditure would obviously influence on social security.
出处
《山西财政税务专科学校学报》
2016年第3期56-59,共4页
Journal of Shanxi Finance & Taxation College
