摘要
本文基于2005-2014年我国31个省（市、自治区）的面板数据,分别构建金融集聚指数和城镇化指数,考察金融集聚与城镇化发展的空间自相关性,并建立了空间自回归模型和空间杜宾模型,采用空间回归偏微分方法分析金融集聚对城镇化的空间溢出效应。研究表明,我国金融集聚和城镇化均呈现明显的空间自相关性,且呈增强趋势。金融集聚、金融投资比率、经济发展水平、对外开放程度对本地区及邻近地区的城镇化都存在着正向的空间溢出效应,且地理距离关联模式下溢出效应更强;而金融发展规模和政府干预程度对城镇化发展存在负向空间溢出效应。
Based on the panel data of 31 provinces,municipalities or autonomous regions in China from 2005 to 2014,this paper constructs financial agglomeration index and urbanization index,studies the Spatial auto- correlation of financial agglomeration and urbanization development,moreover,builds spatial auto- regression model and spatial Durbin model and analyzes spatial spillover effects of financial agglomeration on urbanization based on spatial regression model partial derivatives method. It comes to the results as follows,China＇ s financial agglomeration and urbanization showed significant spatial auto- correlation,and showed an increasing trend. Financial agglomeration,financial investment ratio,the level of economic development and openness both have positive spatial spillover effect on urbanization of the region and adjacent areas,and the effect in geographical distance association mode is stronger than which in economic distance association mode. However,the scale of financial development and the extent of government intervention have negative spatial spillover effect on urbanization of the region and adjacent areas.
出处
《工业技术经济》
北大核心
2016年第11期34-41,共8页
Journal of Industrial Technological Economics
基金
省部级项目"复杂环境下系统性民间金融风险的度量
传导与防范研究"(项目编号:Z201606230160001)
关键词
金融集聚
空间溢出
城镇化
金融投资比率
对外开放程度
政府干预
financial agglomeration
spatial spillover effect
urbanization
financial investment ratio
openness
government intervention
