摘要
本文基于日本47个行政区数据构建面板门限模型,实证分析了日本制造业空间集聚对经济增长的影响作用。研究结果表明,日本制造业的集聚对经济增长具有显著的影响作用。当经济发展处于较低水平时,制造业空间集聚对经济增长具有显著的正向影响效应;当经济发展达到较高水平时,制造业空间集聚对经济增长的影响由显著的正向效应转变为显著的负向效应。当地区运输成本较高时,制造业空间集聚对经济增长具有显著的正向作用;随着运输成本的下降,制造业空间集聚对经济增长的影响由显著的正向效应转变为显著的负向效应。当制造业空间集聚程度较低时,制造业空间集聚对经济增长具有显著的正向影响作用;随着制造业空间集聚程度的提高,制造业空间集聚对经济增长的影响由显著的正向效应转变为负向效应,制造业空间集聚对经济增长的影响效应呈现出方向性转变。
Based on panel threshold model, in this paper, the impact of manufacturing spatial agglomera- tion economic growth is estimated by employing the data of 47 prefectures in Japan. The results show that the agglomeration of manufacturing which is the pillar industry of Japanese economy has a significant effect on economic growth. The agglomeration of manufacturing exists a significant positive effect on economic growth when economy stays in a low level of development. While the economic development of the prefec- ture achieves a higher level, the effect of manufacturing agglomeration on economic growth changes from significantly positive to negative. Manufacturing agglomeration has a significantly positive effect on econom- ic growth at a high transport costs, however, with transport costs declining, the effect of manufacturing ag- glomeration on economic growth changes from significantly positive to negative. When manufacturing ag- glomeration stays at a low level, it has a significantly positive effect on economic growth. With the manufac- turing agglomeration raising, its influence on economic growth shifts from significantly positive to negative and the relationship between manufacturing and economic growth represents a radical shift in direction.
作者
金春雨
程浩
JIN Chunyu CHENG Hao(Center for Quantitative Eeonomies, Jilin University, Changehun, Jilin, 130012, China College of Literature and Law, Siehuan Agricultural University, Ya~n, Sichuan, 625014, China)
出处
《现代日本经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2016年第6期54-67,共14页
Contemporary Economy OF Japan
基金
吉林大学哲学社会科学研究重大课题培育项目"创新驱动发展与国家创新体系建设研究"(2015ZDPY09)
关键词
日本
制造业
空间集聚
经济增长
面板门限模型
Japan, manufacturingmodelindustry, spatial agglomeration, economic growth, panel threshold
