摘要
研究国内旅游对海外游客的吸引力,在发展旅游经济方面具有重要意义。由于国内旅游存在复杂多样性,使得对海外游客的吸引力程度不同。传统的吸引力模型,主要通过分析以往海外游客吸引力程度进行建模分析,忽略了人为因素对海外游客吸引力的影响,导致建模不准确,误差大的问题。提出采用主成分分析的国内旅游对海外游客的吸引力模型。先对国内旅游时间序列数据进行相关性检验,获得国内旅游对海外游客的吸引力影响因素相关性变化趋势。将变化趋势结果定义为国内旅游对海外游客的吸引力直接影响因素,并组建国内旅游影响因素之间的拓扑结构,进一步提升国内旅游城市吸引力。仿真结果表明,将国内旅游影响因素引入海外游客入境旅游模型中,更能够表现出海外游客来华旅游的特征,能够有效地分析出国内旅游对海外游客的吸引力之间关系。
It has important significance in the development of tourism economy to study the attractiveness of domestic tourism for overseas tourists. The complexity and diversity of domestic tourism make it different to the attractiveness of overseas tourists. The traditional attraction model conducts the modeling analysis mainly through the analysis of the attractiveness of foreign tourists in the past. It ignores the influence of the human factors on the attraction of overseas tourists,which leads to inaccurate modeling and large error. We propose an attractive model of domestic tourism for overseas tourists using principal component analysis. Firstly,the domestic tourism time series data are examined to obtain the changing trend of the influence factors of domestic tourism attraction. The outcome of the change is defined as a direct impact on the attractiveness of domestic tourism to overseas visitors. And the topological structure of the domestic tourism influence factors is set up to further enhance the attractiveness of domestic tourist cities.The simulation results show that the proposed method can effectively analyze the attraction relationship between domestic tourism and overseas tourists.
出处
《计算机仿真》
CSCD
北大核心
2016年第10期429-432,共4页
Computer Simulation
关键词
国内旅游
海外游客的吸引力
引力模型
Domestic travel
Overseas tourists attraction
Gravity model
