摘要
中国政府强力引导低碳清洁发展,但政府纲要和指导意见中关于高载能产业循环经济发展的支持政策不够明确,实施过程中将会存在许多重大风险因素。本案例中发现的问题也是其他高载能产业低碳循环经济项目需要规避的风险。运用经济控制理论,将循环经济体看作离散时间动态系统,搭建循环经济体的状态空间模型,运用风险管理的思维和方法,识别循环经济体内的具体风险,提出对策,利用高载能产业循环经济管理上的确定性,应对发展中的不确定性。
Chinese Government strongly guide low-carbon clean development, but the policy support in framework and guidance is not clear. Therefore, there will be many key risk factors in the implementation process. Existing problems in this case are also the risk factors in similar programs. In this paper, circular economy program was regarded as a Discrete Time dynamical system, and the State-space models were set up based on the control theory. At the same time, specific risks were identified using the method and thinking of risk management, and the countermeasures were proposed that it should solve the uncertainty in development with the certainty in management.
出处
《再生资源与循环经济》
2016年第10期14-19,共6页
Recyclable Resources and Circular Economy
关键词
高载能产业
循环经济
风险管理
经济控制论
离散时间动态系统
risk management
Low-Carbon Circular Economy
Economic Control Theory
Discrete Time Dynamical system
