摘要
利用泰安1980年-2010年的月度气候数据,计算泰安气候舒适度指数,分析泰安的最适游期为4月-5月和9月-10月;结合2010年-2014年泰安入境客流量月值数,采用OLS回归分析的方法建立线性回归方程,结果显示：泰安入境旅游客流量和气候舒适度呈高度相关关系,弹性系数高达0.933;用关联度分析方法分析泰安入境旅游客流量和温湿指数、风效指数、着衣指数及综合的舒适度指数之间的关联程度,发现入境旅游客流量和风效指数的关联系数最大,为0.623.
Using the monthly climate data of Tai＇an City in the past 30 years（ 1980 - 2010）,the article calculates Climate Comfortable Degreeof Tai＇an City,and points out the period from April to October and the period from September to October is the most appropriate tourism periods. Based on the data of Monthly Inbound Tourist from 2010 to 2014,using OLS method,the paper establish a linear regression equation,and the results shows Monthly Inbound Tourists Index and Climate Comfort Degreeis interrelated,andthe elastic coefficient attains 0. 933. With Grey Correlation Analysis Method,the correlationcoefficientis is calculated between Monthly Inbound Tourists Indexand Temperature Humidity Index,Wind Effect Index,ICL and Comprehensive Comfort Index,and the correlationcoefficientisbetween Inbound Tourists Monthly Index and Wind Effect Index is maximum,and it attains 0. 623.
出处
《枣庄学院学报》
2016年第5期72-78,144,共8页
Journal of Zaozhuang University
关键词
气候舒适度
入境客流量月指数
相关性分析
灰色关联度分析
泰安
climate comfortable degreeindex
monthlyinbound tourists tndex
correlation analysis
grey correlation analysis method
tai＇an city
