摘要
文章基于2005-2014年中国对"一带一路"沿线国家HS-6出口产品数据,采用洛伦兹曲线和固定效应面板数据分别从理论和实证两个层面考察了要素禀赋和贸易成本对中国出口产品多元化的影响,在此基础上,进一步考虑了近年来中国对外直接投资(OFDI)的迅速增加对出口产品多元化的交互性影响。结果表明,中国与目标国之间的要素禀赋差异越小、地理距离越近、贸易一体化程度越高,中国出口到目标国的产品多元化水平越高;有形资本对出口产品多元化的影响最为显著,远远超过了人力资本和土地等其他要素禀赋;而OFDI的快速增长在一定程度上抑制了出口产品多元化水平的提高,意味着中国"走出去"战略应充分权衡出口多元化与OFDI的关系。
Based on the HS 6- digit export product data of China to the countries along ＂the Belt and Road＂for the period of 2005- 2014,this paper measures the diversification level of China＇s export product by the index of Theil,and then examines the effect of factor endow ment,trade cost and the rapid increase in China ＇s outw ard foreign direct investment（ OFDI） on China ＇s export product diversification respectively from tw o aspects： theoretically and empirically. The results show that the smaller the factor endow ment difference or the geographic distance is,the higher the degree of trade integration is,the higher the product diversification level betw een China and the destination will be.Effect of physical capital on export product diversification is the most significant,far more than the other elements such as human capital and land endow ment. The rapid grow th of OFDI to a certain extent inhibits the improvement of the export product diversification,implying the trade- off betw een OFDI and export diversification when China implements ＂Go Aboard＇strategy.
出处
《南方经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2016年第8期42-59,共18页
South China Journal of Economics
基金
国家自然科学基金(71473150)
教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(14YJA790045)的资助
关键词
出口产品多元化
要素禀赋
贸易成本
“一带一路”
Export product diversification
Factor endowment
Trade costs
＂the Belt and Road＂
