摘要
为了解土地储备中心风险状况,科学监管土地储备融资,运用改进熵值法综合评价模型从市场风险、财务风险、信用风险、政策法律风险4个方面对江北区进行实证分析,研究结果表明:1江北区土地储备融资风险各年间有细微波动,但整体上呈好转的趋势,融资风险逐步降低,并逐渐达到平稳状态;2融资的政策法律风险降低最快,市场风险次之,信用风险趋于稳定,财务风险波动较大,形势最为严峻.在此基础上,提出了合理控制土地储备规模和融资规模、促进融资渠道多元化、规范储备土地经营管理行为等风险防范措施.
In order to grasp the risk of land reserve financing, scientifically supervising and formulating policies, this research has been conducted for empirical analysis on risk assessment of land reserve finan- cing of Jiangbei by means of the improved entropy multivariate evaluation included in market, financial, credit, legal and policy risk. The results show that, 1) there were slight fluctuations in the years 2008-- 2013 about the risk of land reserve financing, but showing a trend of improvement as a whole and the fi nancing risk level was reducing as well as gradually reaching a steady state; 2) the level of financing policy and legal risk reduced the fastest, followed by market risk, and credit risk is stabilizing. Thus financial risk is most severe with the greater fluctuation. In the end ,the results can provide a reference for manage- ment to grasp the risk, such as scientifically supervising and formulating policies, as well as offer a method of reference for similar studies.
出处
《西南师范大学学报(自然科学版)》
CAS
北大核心
2016年第8期95-100,共6页
Journal of Southwest China Normal University(Natural Science Edition)
基金
国土资源公益性行业科研专项(201311006)
关键词
江北区
改进熵值法
土地储备融资
风险评价
风险防范
Jiangbei
entropy weight method
land reserve financing
risk assessment
risk prevention