摘要
房地产高库存制约我国房地产行业健康发展,影响国民经济平稳运行。房地产开发企业住宅销售量是反映“去库存”最直接的经济指标,销售越多,“去库存”越明显。采用全国31个省（区、市）2005~2014的年度数据,运用面板实证模型,分析得出商品房平均销售价格每提高1%,房地产开发企业住宅销售套数便减少0.30%;城镇固定投资额每提高1%,房地产开发企业住宅销售套数增加0.46%;房地产开发企业个数每提高1%,房地产开发企业住宅销售套数便增加0.52%;房地产开发企业国内贷款每提高1%,房地产开发企业住宅销售套数便增加0.24%;第三产业增加值每提高1%,房地产开发企业住宅销售套数便减少0.28%。
The high inventories of real estate will restrict the healthy development of the real estate industry in China, and influence the smooth development of the national economy. The sales volume of residential enterprise is the most direct economic indicator of de-stocking. The more housing is sold, the more obvious the de-stocking. Based on the annual data of 31 provinces from 2005 to 2014, using the panel empirical model to conduct the study, the research results show that, every 1% rise in the average sales price of commodity houses leads to 0.30% drop in the sales volume of housing enterprises, every 1% increase in fixed investment amount of cities and towns brings 0.46% increase in the housing sales volume, and every 1% increase in the number of housing enterprises results in 0.52% increase in the housing sales volume. We also find that if the domestic loan of housing enterprises increases every 1%, the housing sales volume would increase by 0.24% and if the added value of the tertiary industry increases every 1%, the housing sales volume would decrease by 0.28%.
出处
《改革》
CSSCI
北大核心
2016年第6期111-119,共9页
Reform
基金
重庆市决策咨询与管理创新项目"房地产税合并征收的经济效益研究"(批准号:cstc2015jccx A00005)
关键词
房地产去库存
经济结构调整
经济发展转型
＂De-inventory＂ of real estate, economic structure adjustment, economic development transformation
