摘要
本文在居民消费效用最大化的理论背景下,结合统计年鉴相关数据,利用空间动态面板模型,研究了1997-2013年中国的政府支出对全体居民、城镇居民以及农村居民消费的影响。研究结果表明:居民消费存在显著的习惯效应,政府支出和居民收入增加会促进居民消费,各省份之间居民消费既可能存在相互促进的关系,也可能存在相互竞争的关系。因此为了促进居民消费,需要适当地保持较好的消费习惯,改变不良的消费习惯,注意省份之间的密切合作,现阶段可以增加政府支出,来刺激居民消费,特别是农村居民消费,另外还需要提高城镇居民可支配收入和农村居民纯收入。
Based on the theory of maximizing consumer utility, this paper uses the relevant data from the statistical year- book in China and the space dynamic panel model to study the effects of government expenditures on all residents＇ , urban residents＇ and rural residents＇ consumption in 1997 -2013. The results are as follows： There is a significant consumer habits effect; Increased government spending and income will promote household consumption; Residents＇ consumption in different provinces may not only mutually promote, but also compete with each other. Therefore, in order to promote consumer spend- ing, we need to properly maintain good spending habits, change bad spending habits and pay attention to the close cooperation among the provinces. At this stage we can increase government spending to stimulate consumption, especially rural residents＇ consumption, and we also need to improve urban residents＇ disposable income and the net income of rural residents.
出处
《财经论丛》
CSSCI
北大核心
2016年第6期19-28,共10页
Collected Essays on Finance and Economics
基金
甘肃省高等学校科学研究项目(2015B-070)
甘肃省科技厅软科学项目(1504ZKCA013-9)
关键词
空间相关
政府支出
居民消费
spatial correlation
government expenditure
household consumption
