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基于博弈论的能源产业种群竞争均衡分析 被引量:1

Equilibrium Analysis of Population Competition in Energy Industry
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摘要 首先分析比较了新能源产业种群与传统能源产业种群的种群特征,在种群竞争的Lotka-Volterra模型基础上,建立两种群的竞争模型并进行参数不同取值时的竞争均衡结果分析;其次,利用演化博弈的思想建立了基于政府调控下的新能源产业生产商的演化博弈模型,根据博弈支付矩阵得出两者的复制者动态方程组,得出两者的稳定解,并进行数值仿真来说明结论的可行性;最后,针对以上的分析结果,分别对政府以及新能源产业生产商就不同的初值条件给予选择策略上的建议. Firstly,the population characteristics of the new energy industry population and the traditional energy industry population were analyzed and compared. On the basis of the Lotka-Volterra model of population competition,the competition model of the two species was established,and the competitive equilibrium result was analyzed. Secondly,by using the evolutionary game theory,the evolutionary game model of the new energy industry producer under the government regulation was established. According to the payoff matrix of the game,the dynamic equations of the two groups were obtained,and the stable solution was obtained. Finally,in view of the above analysis results,some suggestions on the selection strategy for the government and the new energy industry manufacturers were given on different initial conditions.
出处 《鲁东大学学报(自然科学版)》 2016年第3期198-204,共7页 Journal of Ludong University:Natural Science Edition
基金 国家自然科学基金(71001025) 教育部人文社会科学一般项目(10YJCZH204)
关键词 种群竞争 演化博弈 复制者动态方程 population competition evolutionary game dynamic equation of the replica
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