摘要
当前中国各级政府在落实和推进中央部署的供给侧结构性改革去产能战略过程中,可能会面临诸多困局与风险。其中,由于去产能工作与地方政府在多个层面存在程度不等的利益冲突,地方政府依靠传统的产业政策思路或政府优惠政策产生的变异行为,国内外市场环境的短期波动性变化导致的误判行为以及地方政府针对国有和民营企业可能出现的偏向性处理行为等,会导致去产能工作出现程度不等的延误或扭曲。在此情形下,去产能工作可能会导致如下三大风险:债务风险以及可能引发的金融风险,失业风险以及可能引发的社会安全风险,产业转换断档风险以及地方政府官员"懒政怠政"行为可能引发的经济波动和社会风险。针对以上困局与风险,本文指出当前去产能工作中需要注意的四大平衡关系,并提出相应的解决思路和具体对策。
The current Chinese government entities at all levels on the supply side of the structural reform to de - capacity, may face many prominent dilemma and risk. Due to the varying degrees of conflicts of interest, local governments rely on the traditional industrial policy or preferential policy variation behav- ior. The short - term volatility in the market environment changes lead to miscarriage, and varying degrees of delay effect to work capacity or distortion effect. In this case, de - capacity may result in the following three risks： debt risk and financial risks in the banking system, the unemployment risk and social security risk , industry transformation of proximate risk as well as local government officials ＂lazy arm＂ behavior. In view of the above difficulties and risks, this paper points out that during de - capacity should be aware of the big four equilibrium relations, and proposes the corresponding solution.
出处
《河北学刊》
CSSCI
北大核心
2016年第4期123-129,共7页
Hebei Academic Journal
基金
2015年度马克思主义理论研究和建设工程重大项目<防范和化解金融风险>(2015MZD033)
国家社会科学基金重大项目<中国产业创新发展战略研究>(15ZDC013)
