摘要
笔者从理论层面分析了我国工业化、服务业发展对城镇化水平的影响机制,并使用55个省会、副省级城市在2003—2010年的面板数据,结合协整分析、Granger因果检验以及脉冲响应分析等计量方法,实证探讨了三者间的关系。研究表明:工业化进程与城镇化水平提升之间存在长期的良性互动机制,工业化程度的提高仍然是当前我国城镇化水平提升的关键动力,而城镇化水平的提高亦能带动制造业的进一步发展;考察期内并未发现服务业发展对现阶段城镇化进程起显著作用。
This paper analyzes the mechanism that industrialization and development of service industry affect the level of urbanization of China,and at the same time uses 55 provincial and sub-provincial cities of China during 2003—2010year,coupled with panel-data cointegration analysis,Granger causality analysis and impulse-response function analysis to empirically analyze the relationship between industrialization,development of service industry and the level of urbanization of China.The main findings can be concluded as follows：there exists a benign interaction relationship between industrialization and urbanization of China.At current stage,industrialization still plays a key role during the development of urbanization of China,and the development of urbanization also can bring about a positive effect on industrialization.The development of service industry can play significant role during the urbanization of China.
出处
《东北师大学报（哲学社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2016年第3期42-48,共7页
Journal of Northeast Normal University(Philosophy and Social Science Edition)
基金
教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(14YJCZH088)
关键词
工业化
服务业
城镇化
面板协整
城市数据
Industrialization
Service Industry
Urbanization
Panel-data Cointegration
City-level Data
