摘要
该文以亳州市2002-2015年粮食产量为基础数据,对该区14a间的粮食产量变化情况进行分析。根据分析结果,通过建立对数模型,预测得到2030年该市的粮食产量以及未来粮食产量变化的趋势。结果表明:(1)未来一段时间内,亳州的粮食产量呈稳定增长的趋势;(2)增加基础设施和科技投入,提升应对自然灾害的能力,是粮食增加的重要措施;(3)科学技术的作用对粮食安全越来越重要。
Based on the data of grain yield of 2002-2015 in Bozhou,this paper analyzed the change of grain yield in14 years in this area. According to the results of the analysis,establishment of a logarithmic model,the paper forecasted the city’s grain yield in 2030 and the future trend of grain yield changes. The results showed that：（1）Bozhou grain yield showed a trend of steady growth in the future;（2）To increase investment in infrastructure and technology,improving the ability to respond to natural disasters is an important measure to increase grain yield;（3）Science and technology on food safety is more and more important.
出处
《安徽农学通报》
2016年第10期8-9,共2页
Anhui Agricultural Science Bulletin
关键词
亳州
对数模型
粮食
预测
分析
Bozhou
Logarithmic model
Grain
Forecast
Analysis
