摘要
本文运用GM(1,1)模型,对2014-2020年西安市蔬菜供需量进行了定量预测,发现西安在建设国际化大都市未来5年期间,蔬菜生产稳定发展,居民蔬菜消费量平稳增加,供需总体较为宽松,淡旺季部分品种存在供给不足、蔬菜总量供过于求、供求存在缺口且供需不平衡呈现加大趋势等结论,并提出了保证蔬菜产品质量安全和优化蔬菜有效供给体系的发展目标,同时针对西安市区蔬菜供给体系存在的主要问题提出了西安国际化大都市蔬菜有效供给体系保障措施与对策建议。
Using GM（1,1） model, the paper predicts the quantity of vegetable＇ s supply and demand in Xi＇ an from 2014 to 2020.The results show that the development of vegetable production is stable, the vegetable consumption of residents increase placidly, theoverall supply and demand is relatively loose, the supply of some kinds of vegetables is insufficient in off-season and peak-season, thesupply of vegetables exceed the demand, there exists the gap between supply and demand, and the imbalance between supply and de-mand is increasingly larger in the next five years. On this basis, the paper puts forward the goals of guaranteeing the quality of veg-etable products and improving the effective vegetables supply system. And targeting the problems of Xi＇ an urban vegetable supplysystem, some safeguard measures and suggestions are provided about the construction of the effective vegetables supply system in in-ternational metropolis in Xi＇ an.
出处
《西部金融》
2016年第4期60-66,共7页
West China Finance
基金
西安市发展和改革委员会
西安市农学会委托课题"西安建设国际化大都市蔬菜有效供给保障体系研究"
关键词
西安
国际化大都市
蔬菜
有效供给
Xi＇ an
international metropolis
vegetable
effective supply
prediction
