摘要
以国内外关于贸易自由化对环境影响的研究理论为基础,对我国工业制造业出口对国内碳排放的影响途径与效果进行分析研究。通过建立方程组模型,对涉及变量的1995—2014年时间序列数据进行回归得到实证研究结果:制造业出口的规模效应和结构效应对碳排放的增加程度大于技术效应对碳排放的减少程度;工业制成品出口还通过影响环境规制水平增加我国的碳排放量。因此,工业制造业出口导致了我国碳排放量的增加。针对实证结果,给出了相应的切实可行的对策分析。
Based on a number of domestic and foreign theories of trade liberalization＇s impact on the environment, this article analyzed the effect and route of carbon emission on manufacturing export. Through establishing equations, and regressing the variables of the equations involving the time series of data from 1995 to 2014, we got the empirical results：The increasing degree of scale and structure negative impact of the industrial manufacturing export on carbon emission is greater than the decreasing degree of technical effect on carbon emission. Meanwhile, the industrial manufacturing export trade also increase carbon emission by affecting the level of environmental regulation. Therefore, industrial manufacturing export leads to the increase of carbon emission in our country. Besides the above analysis, the article gives some corresponding practical countermeasures for the empirical results.
出处
《天津商业大学学报》
2016年第2期32-36,65,共6页
Journal of Tianjin University of Commerce
关键词
工业制造业出口
碳排放
规模效应
结构效应
技术效应
环境规制
manufacturing export
carbon emission
scale effect
structure effect
technical effect
environmental regulation
