摘要
根据2000—2014年的省际面板数据,以产业结构、城镇化进程为解释变量,以金融发展规模、财政制度、对外开放程度为控制变量的回归分析表明,工业化水平、城镇化水平、金融发展水平与经济正相关,城镇化水平与经济增长呈现"倒U型"关系,但不同地区的情况略有差异。工业化对东部和西部地区的经济增长具有促进作用,对东北地区的经济增长有抑制作用,对中部地区经济增长的作用不显著;产业高级化对东部和西部地区经济增长有促进作用,对东北地区和中部地区的经济增长有抑制作用。城镇化的间接传导途径也存在区域性差异,在东部和东北地区存在抑制作用,在中西部地区存在促进作用且间接传导效应明显低于直接传导效应。
In this paper,based on provincial panel data from 2000 to 2014,the authors make a regression analysis on the relationship between industrial structure and economic growth in the process of urbanization in the context of ＂new normal＂ by taking industrial structure and the process of urbanization as the explaining variables,and the scale of financial development,fiscal system and the degree of opening up as the controlling variables. The results show that the economic level is positively correlated with the level of industrialization,urbanization and financial development;there are the different inverted U-shaped relations between the level of urbanization and economic growth in different regions. Industrialization is playing the positive role in promoting economic growth of the East and West regions,the negative role in that of the Northeast regions,and the negligible role in that of the Central regions;the high-class industrial structure is playing the positive role in promoting economic growth in the East and West regions,and negative role in that of the Northeast and Central regions. The intermediary roles urbanization plays in different regions are also different;it is negative in the East and Northeast regions;it is positive in Central and West regions,and the effect of the direct intermediary roles it plays will lower than that of the indirect roles in these regions.
出处
《中国流通经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2016年第4期64-71,共8页
China Business and Market
基金
教育部社科重大项目"中国图们江区域合作开发战略研究"(12JZD050)
关键词
产业结构
高级化
城镇化
区域经济增长
industrial structure
high-class
urbanization
regional economic growth
