摘要
制造业是国民经济主体,受惠于改革红利、全球化红利和人口红利,我国成为全球最大制造业生产和净出口国,为产业转型升级赢得了时间和空间。分析表明,我国制造业在享有绝对规模优势的同时还存在大而不强,产业区域发展不平衡,人口红利优势递减和产业结构优化升级压力。借助局部调整自回归模型进一步分析我国制造业战略升级的内在机理,实证解释影响制造业战略升级重要因素的短期和长期效应,并以此从加快投资驱动向创新驱动转型;重构产业价值链,优化产业空间布局和提升产业增值能力;做强生产性服务业,推动服务业和制造业融合发展;充分发挥区域经济政策产业效应等方面提出实现"中国制造"战略升级对策思路。
Manufacturing industry is the principal part of national economy. Benefiting from the reform dividends, economic globalization dividend and demographic dividend, China has become the world's largest manufacturing country and net-exporter, thus has won more time and space for the industrial transformation. The analysis of the article shows that, although China's manufacturing industry enjoys its absolute advantages in scales, several problems, as large but not strong, imbalanced regional development, demographic dividend advantage declining and industrial structure optimization and upgrading pressure, still exist. Through the partial adjustment auto-regression model, the article further analyzes of the internal mechanism of the strategic upgrading of China's manufacturing industry, and empirically explains the short term and long term effects of the important factors affecting the manufacturing industrial strategic transformation, then proposes the countermeasures to realize the strategic upgrading of China's manufacturing industry. These countermeasures include accelerating the transformation from investment driven to innovation driven, reconstructing industrial value chain, optimizing industrial spatial distribution and enhancing industrial added value, strengthening the productive service industry, promoting the integration of service industry and manufacturing industry and making full use of the industrial effects of regional economic policies.
出处
《当代经济管理》
CSSCI
2016年第4期27-34,共8页
Contemporary Economic Management
基金
福建省社会科学规划项目(2014B098)
福建省软科学规划项目(2015R0006)
国家社会科学基金规划项目(14CJY020)
福建省高校新世纪优秀人才支持计划项目
福建省中青年教师教育科研项目(JAS150646)
关键词
经济新常态
中国制造
产业价值链
人口红利
the new normal state of economy
made-in-China
industrial value chain
demographic dividend
