摘要
"一带一路"战略可以推动国内产能输出、实现产业转移,同时可以加强投资和贸易领域的本币结算,为扩大国家贸易以人民币结算和计价带来了机遇。"一带一路"沿线各个国家尤其是一些内陆国家,仍然处于更低发展水平、更低监管力度的阶段,这种情况的存在必然使得沿线国家面临市场经营风险;另一方面是违约风险,从企业角度讲主要是违法风险,从政府角度讲主要是违约风险,这种违法或违约风险使得企业或政府的成本造成损失和不确定性。"一带一路"对人民币国际化的影响在长期将较为显著。应坚持鼓励创新与完善发展并举,对"一带一路"战略进行更加完善的规划并付诸实施,以加快人民币国际化的进程,促进我国经济发展,提高我国国际地位。
With the advance of the Belt and Road Initiative, its impact on China's economic development is increasingly obvious. Based on the review of the initiative's background and the current situation, this essay performs an in-depth analysis of the opportunities and challenges that B&R bring to the RMB internationalization strategy. Using MATLAB software model to predict the seasonal trend in short-term, medium-term and long-term cross-border RMB settlement amount, it concludes that the Belt and Road Initiative will not only construct a solid foundation for the economy,, it will also bring Illegal risk for the enterprises and default risk for the government. We should program and carry out the initiative through innovation, accelerate the internationalization of RMB, enhance the economic development and improve our international status.
出处
《汕头大学学报（人文社会科学版）》
2016年第1期72-79,96,共8页
Journal of Shantou University(Humanities and Social Sciences Edition)
