摘要
以全球变暖为特征的气候变化已成为当今科学界、各国政府和社会公众普遍关注的最重要议题之一。气候变化对水资源管理的影响是具有重要学术价值的新兴研究方向,目前的重点研究领域主要包括:气候变化背景下水资源综合管理方式与集成研究,气候变化下水资源适应性管理机制,中国面临的水资源均衡性管理,公众参与水资源适应性管理的政策制定,对减缓措施与水资源可持续发展的认识。主要的研究方法包括:适应气候变化的定性分析方法(多尺度适应综合分析方法)、成本效益分析方法等。适应性管理是目前应对气候变化伴随的不确定性问题的有效策略,未来应在分析中国各流域水资源不确定性问题的基础上,建立气候变化情景下适应气候变化的水资源适应性管理体制机制。
Climate change characterized by global warming has become one of the most important universal attention issues to scientific circles,world′s governments and social public.Impacts of climate change on water resources management is a new research direction has important academic valuehe key fields in the studies focuses on：integrated water resources management and integration study under climate change, mechanismofadaptive management under climate change,frequent occurrence of extreme and accidental event,the public participation understanding of mitigation measures and water resources sustainable development.The methods mainly consist of qualitative methods multi-scale adaptation analysis cost benefit analysis etc.The adaptive management is an effective strategy to deal with this uncertainty problem associated with addressing climate change.Future research should be based on the analysis of the uncertainty problems of water resources management in China′s river basin,work on adaptation strategies preliminarily to the impact of climate change under climate change scenariosincluding mechanism and systems ofadaptive management.
出处
《长江流域资源与环境》
CAS
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2015年第12期2061-2068,共8页
Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(71573151)
国家社会科学基金重大项目(15ZDB164)
清华大学自主科研计划(2014z04083)
关键词
气候变化
水资源
水管理
适应性管理
climate change
water resources
water management
adaptive management
