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上海环境空气质量预报考核评分方法研究和应用 被引量:16

Study on the Method of Environmental Air Quality Forecast Assessment Score and Application in Shanghai
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摘要 根据环境空气质量新标准和技术规范的要求,结合上海空气质量预报工作的实际,制定了一套环境空气质量预报考核评分方法,为空气质量预报结果的考核和预报工作的改进提供了定量依据,并在上海得到实际应用。该方法基于空气质量指数评价方法,重点对未来24 h的分段预报(当日夜间20:00至次日6:00、次日上午6:00—12:00、次日下午12:00—20:00)结果进行考核,区分优级时段和非优级时段,侧重对污染日的评估并突出首要污染物的评分权重,并增加级别变化趋势的描述评分和污染加分项。 According to the new ambient air quality standards and technical regulations, as well as the actual situation of air quality forecast in Shanghai, a method of air quality forecast assessment score is developed, providing a quantitative basis for improving air quality forecast work and assessment. Based on the AQI evaluation method,the method is focused on assessing of the forecast result during three segmentations in the future 24 hours : the night (20 : 00--6 : 00), the next morning (6 : 00-- 12:00) and the next afternoon (12: 00--20: 00), to quantitatively evaluate the forecast accuracy. It also highlights the assessment of primary pollutant and pollution time, and increases the scores on description of level changes and pollution prediction. As it is applied in Shanghai, the effect evaluation of the method is discussed.
出处 《中国环境监测》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2015年第4期54-57,共4页 Environmental Monitoring in China
基金 上海市科委科研项目(12dz1202700 14DZ1202900)
关键词 空气质量预报 考核评分 空气质量指数 实时发布 上海 air quality forecast assessment score AQI real-time reporting Shanghai
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