摘要
通过建立长期的人口流动模型,从理论上分析了人口流动、不完全城市化如何影响城乡收入,并建立门槛面板数据模型,实证检验我国人口流动、不完全城市化对城乡收入差距的影响。结果表明,城乡收入差距随着长期的人口流动、不完全城市化的发展逐渐扩大,城镇人均收入增加高于农村人均收入增加。充分认识和了解人口流动、不完全城化对城乡收入差距的影响,有助于解决我国城乡收入不断扩大的现状,只有实现完全城市化进程,才能更好地统筹城乡发展,缩小城乡收入差距,实现共同富裕。解决这个问题不但需要制度的创新,而且还需要相对应的配套政策支持。
In terms of establishing the long--term population model, this paper theoretically analyzes a phenomenon that how mobile population and incomplete urbanization influence on rural and urban income levels. Based on the panel threshold model, this paper empirically testifies how mobile population and incomplete urbanization impact on the income gap between urban and rural areas. The research findings indicate that the income gap between urban and rural areas is increasingly broadened and urban per capita incomes have grown faster than rural ones. Thus, people understand the effects thoroughly in order to resolve the current enlargement of income gap. By means of urbanization, to some degree the developments of urban and rural areas can be coordinated, the income gap can be narrowed and common prosperity can be accomplished. Above all, in order to tackle this issue, the innovations of systems and the corresponding policies should be put forward and carried out.
出处
《统计与信息论坛》
CSSCI
北大核心
2015年第9期55-59,共5页
Journal of Statistics and Information
基金
国家社科基金重大项目<我国预算绩效指标框架与指标库建设研究>(12&ZD198)
关键词
流动人口
不完全城市化
城乡放入差距
门槛面板模型
mobile population
incomplete urbanization
income gap between urban and rural areas
panel threshold model
