摘要
利用山西省1999-2012年山西省城镇居民年均可支配收入与消费支出样本数据,采用一元线性回归模型的经典最小二乘法(OLS)法进行实证检验,并建立了两者之间的线性模型。结果表明:山西省城镇居民年均可支配收入与消费支出之间存在高度相关性,居民的消费支出在很大程度上是由居民的可支配收入决定。具体来说即在95%置信度下,山西省城镇居民的消费倾向为0.795446,说明年均可支配收入LNPX每增加1元,消费性支出值LNPY处于以0.795446元为中心的区间[0.76774,0.82326],同时还得出居民的自发消费额度为178元。因此,文章提出了增加人均可支配收入、增加福利项目和提高福利性水平等相并举的政策措施。
Based on 1999-2012 years data of Shan xi Province, Study of urban residents＇ disposable income and consumption expenditure relationship. Used a linear regression model of the classical least squares（OLS） doing empirical method and Establishing a linear model. The results show there is a high correlation, residents consumer spending is largely determined by the resident＇s disposable income. Specifically, i.e, at 95% confidence level, Shan xi propensity to consume of urban residents is 0.795446,adding 1Yuan,Consumer spending range0.76774-0.82326 yuan. At the same time, the residents＇ spontaneous consumption is 178 yuan. This paper proposes specific recommendations, such as increasing per capita disposable income, increasing welfare programs and raising the level of welfare.
出处
《江苏商论》
2015年第7期16-21,共6页
Jiangsu Commercial Forum
基金
山西省管理科学与工程学科项目(XK2014012)
关键词
线性关系
OLS
可支配收入
激励机制
Linear relationship
OLS
Disposable income
Consumer spending
