摘要
国际贸易保护主义抬头,技术性贸易壁垒越来越被大多数国家采用,技术性贸易壁垒对贸易的影响也越来越被重视。本文利用2001—2013年我国对美国、日本和欧盟的农产品出口额的面板数据,通过建立引力模型,分别分析技术性贸易壁垒在中短期和长期时间下对我国农产品出口的影响。结果表明,出口国技术性贸易壁垒促进农产品出口额,进口国技术性贸易壁垒在中短期抑制我国农产品出口额,长期促进出口。席卷全球的经济危机与出口额有负相关性,而欧债危机的爆发对出口没有显著影响。对此,我国应该加大自身的技术性贸易壁垒设置,以求提高出口农产品的技术和质量水平;也应端正对国外技术性贸易壁垒的态度,毕竟从长期来看国外的技术性贸易壁垒会通过改善出口农产品的质量而促进出口。
With the rising of international trade protection, the technical barriers to trade are increasingly adopted by more and more countries. And the influences of technical barriers to trade become more valued. This article uses panel data in 2001--2013 of the agricultural products exports of China to the United States, Japan and EU, through building the gravity model to analysis the impact to China＇s agricultural products exports of trade in short or medium term and long term. The results showed that the technical barriers to trade of the exporting country were promoting the exports of agricultural products, and the technical barriers of the exporting countries were suppressing the export of China in the short or medium term, but promoting the exports in the long term. There exists a negative correlation between the economic crisis and the export, while the outbreak of the debt crisis has no significant effect on agricultural products exports. So China should increase its own technical barriers to trade in order to improve the technology and quality of agricultural products, and we should correct our attitude to face the foreign technical barriers to trade. Because from the long term, they can improve the quality of agricultural products and promote the exports.
出处
《南京财经大学学报》
2015年第4期7-15,共9页
Journal of Nanjing University of Finance and Economics
基金
国家自然科学基金面上项目(编号:71373116)
国家社科基金项目(编号:14BJY221)
粮食公益性科研专项(编号:201513004)
南京财经大学服务国家特殊需求博士人才培养项目(编号:BSXJ201503)
江苏高校优势学科项目建设工程(编号:PAPD)
青蓝工程项目(编号:Qing Lan Project)
关键词
技术性贸易壁垒
中短期
引力模型
technical barriers to trade
short or medium term
gravity model
