摘要
伴随流动人口规模的扩大、流动时长的增加,安徽省流动人口的发展呈现常态化、长期化趋势。对流动人口流动时间长短的衡量,通常使用平均流动时长指标,该指标的缺陷在于受年龄结构的影响。鉴于此,引用一个新的指标,即流动预期时间,指的是在整个预期寿命中,人们在流动状态下度过的年数。经过测算,2010年安徽省人口的平均流动预期时间为16.3年,高于全国同期10.8年的平均时长,男性的平均流动预期时间高于女性。结合2014年安徽省统计年鉴数据,2013年安徽省平均流动预期时间为18年,与2010年相比呈上升趋势。
With the increasing expansion of the scale of the floating population and the flow length of time, the development of floating population in Anhui Province presents the normalization and the long - term trend. The measure of the flow duration of floating population, which usually uses the average flow time index, subjects to age structure. Thus this study will quote a new index, namely, floating time expectancy, which refers to years spent in the state of flow in the whole life expectancy. Through calculation, the floating time expectancy of Anhui Province in 2010 is 16.3 years, higher than the na- tional level of 10.8 years. And male floating time expectancy is higher than female. Combined with the data of statistical yearbook of Anhui Province in 2014, Anhui Province floating life expectancy is 18 years in 2013, which shows a rising trend compared with 2010.
出处
《人口与社会》
2015年第3期52-58,共7页
Population and Society
关键词
流动人口
流动预期时间
城市化
年龄结构
社会管理
floating population
floating time expectancy
urbanization
age structure
social management
