摘要
中日韩自由贸易区的构建是在区域经济一体化背景下的积极探索,也是推动亚太经济深入合作的有益尝试。谈判过程面临各种障碍,贸易壁垒是其中关键的环节,尤其是农产品关税减让难度最大。通过测算,第一,考察期内,中日韩3国平均最惠国税率明显下降,但中国水平依然较高。农产品关税水平显著高于非农产品,韩国最为显著。第二,中日韩3国双边关税等价贸易成本整体呈下降趋势。其中,中韩平均贸易成本最高,但下降幅度最显著,中日平均贸易成本最低,日韩贸易成本降幅最小。第三,贸易品替代弹性对3国贸易成本的变化幅度影响甚微。中韩之间的贸易成本下降前景最为明朗。
The idea of constructing the Free Trade Area（FTA） between China, Japan and Korea is a positive exploration against the background of regional economic integrity and a beneficial attempt to deepen the cooperation between the Asian–Pacific economies. Among the many barriers that are facing the negotiations, the trade barriers are the key issue, particularly the agricultural tariffs.Through the measurement, this paper comes up with the following conclusions.Firstly, within the inspected period, the average MFN tariff rates of the three countries decreased obviously, while that of China remained high after the decline; the tariffs on agricultural products are significantly higher than that of non– agricultural products, with Korea presenting the most typical case. Secondly,the bilateral ad valorem equivalent（AVE） was on a fall. The average trade cost between China and Korea is the highest; so is its declining rate. The trade cost between China and Japan is the lowest; so is its declining rate too. Thirdly, the substitution elasticity of tradable goods has a very limited effect on the trade cost change between the three countries and the trade cost between China and Korea showed the most promising sign of future decline.
基金
教育部人文社会科学研究基金青年项目"新贸易保护主义对我国外贸影响及对策研究"(项目号:11YJCGJW012)的阶段性成果
