摘要
本文根据广东省1993-2012年的工业制成品出口贸易额、工业废水、废气、固体废弃物的排放量等相关数据,运用相关的计量分析方法,对数据进行单位根检验、协整检验和格兰杰因果关系检验,并在此基础上建立了误差修正模型,用以分析广东省工业制成品出口贸易与工业"三废"之间的短期和长期关系。结果表明:广东省工业制成品出口额每增长1%,工业废气排放量和工业固体废弃物产生量将分别增加0.56%和0.53%,而工业制成品出口额与工业废水排放量之间不存在长期稳定的关系。最后提出了相应的对策建议。
With the export data of Guangdong＇s industrial finished goods, the release quantity of waste water, waste gas and waste solid from 1993 to 2012, this paper built up ECM based on unit root test, co-integration test and granger test. It revealed the long relation and short dynamic relation between the growth of Guangdong＇s industrial finished goods export and environment pollution. The 1% growth of Guangdong＇s industrial finished goods export may causes the release quantity of waste gas and waste solid increase 0.56% and 0.53%. At the end of this paper, it gives some political suggestions.
出处
《工业经济论坛》
2015年第3期144-150,共7页
Industrial Economy Review
关键词
工业制成品
出口贸易
环境污染
协整
误差修正
industrial finished goods
export
environmental pollution
co-integration
vector error correction
