摘要
为研究中国与中亚五国农产品贸易成本水平、变化趋势及影响因素,利用Novy贸易成本模型,对1993—2012年中国与中亚五国农产品贸易成本进行测度。结果显示,中国与中亚五国农产品贸易成本呈现波动性下降趋势,但下降幅度小于其他类产品贸易成本。从双边贸易成本的绝对值来看,中国与哈萨克斯坦农产品贸易成本均值最低;从贸易成本下降幅度来看,五国中,与中国双边农产品贸易成本下降幅度最大的是乌兹别克斯坦。通过对自然因素、贸易政策、基础设施与服务3个方面进行分析,发现贸易政策和基础设施与服务,特别是出口融资服务的发展可以极大减弱自然因素对贸易的不利影响,贸易政策中的非关税措施已经取代关税壁垒成为农产品贸易成本降低的重要阻碍。
In order to study the agricultural trade cost level,change trend and influence factors between China and the five central Asian countries,the Novy trade cost model was used to measure the agricultural trade cost between China and the five central Asian countries from 1993 to 2012. Results showed that agricultural trade cost between China and the five central Asian countries showed a trend of lower volatility,but the drop rate was less than that of other products. From the perspective of absolute value of bilateral trade cost,the average cost of agricultural products trade between China and Kazakhstan was the lowest;from the view of trade cost decline,the biggest drop of bilateral agricultural products trade cost with China among five countries belonged to Uzbekistan. By analyzing natural factors,trade policy,infrastructure and service,we found that the trade policy,infrastructure and services,especially the development of export financing services could greatly weaken the adverse impact of natural factors on trade;the trade policy of non-tariff measures has replaced the tariff barriers to become the important obstacles affecting agricultural trade cost reduction.
出处
《广东农业科学》
CAS
2015年第7期161-167,共7页
Guangdong Agricultural Sciences
基金
国家自然科学基金(71063020)
关键词
中亚五国
农产品
贸易成本
影响因素
the five central Asian countries
agricultural products
trade cost
influencing factors
