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物流业在国内消费需求的战略地位和相关发展战略研究

Research on the Logistics Industry in the Strategic Position of the Domestic Consumption
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摘要 物流业作为国家的战略性产业,对国内经济发展有着较强的连带作用,可以有导向性地带动其他产业的发展。文章通过对物流产业和国内消费规模的时间序列进行平稳性和因果性关系分析,确定物流业在国内消费成长过程的地位和作用。经过误差修正机制分析,指出了消费与物流业之间关系的长期稳定和短期波动的内部机理,并据之提出物流业发展政策建议。 The logistics industry as the national strategic industry, with the joint action of domestic economic development, can orient the development of other industries. In this paper, by analyzing the stability and causality relationship of logistics industry and domestic consumption scale of time series, determine the logistics industry in the status and role of domestic consumption growth. With the error correction mechanism analysis, this paper points out the internal mechanism of long-term stability and short-term fluctuations in the relationship between domestic consumption and logistics industry, and then put forward the policy recommendations about logistics industry.
作者 朱志祥
机构地区 广东东软学院
出处 《物流科技》 2015年第6期78-81,共4页 Logistics Sci-Tech
关键词 格兰杰因果关系 物流业 国内消费 误差修正机制 Granger causality logistics industry domestic consumption ECO
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