摘要
本文以内蒙古生态环境质量为研究对象,运用加权合成法得出生态环境质量综合指数并进行评价分析,在此基础上运用灰色方法建立预测模型,得出预测值。研究表明:从1990-2010年,生态环境质量总的趋势是不断变好,但在不同的阶段其变化情况略有不同,在整个时段内生态环境质量处于一般等级。通过预测得出环境质量综合指数不断上升,环境质量不断改善,到2030年环境质量将达到良好等级。
In this paper,based on the research of the ecological environment quality in Inner Mongolia,the In-ner Mongolia ecological environmental quality of comprehensive index is obtained and establishes the early warning mechanism.The research shows that：during the study period,the ecological environmental quality is rising in fluc-tuation in Inner Mongolia,but in different period of the progress,speed and trend of the change of it is a bit differ-ent,but in the whole period of the ecological environment quality in general condition.Ecological environment pre-diction model is set up by using the gray method,the Inner Mongolia ecological environmental quality comprehen-sive index is obtained by prediction rising.The environmental quality becomes better and better and the environ-mental quality in 2030 will be in good condition.
出处
《阴山学刊（自然科学版）》
2015年第2期46-51,共6页
Yinshan Academic Journal(Natural Science Edition)
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(41261109)
内蒙古自然科学基金项目(2012MS0617)
关键词
内蒙古
生态环境质量
评价
预警
Inner Mongolia
the quality of eco -environment
evaluate
early warning
