摘要
2014年全球玉米供给充沛,玉米价格不断下跌,国内玉米供需形势进一步得到改善。预计2015年全球玉米供给依然充沛,价格将处于低位,国内玉米也将保持相对较为宽松的供需形势。但是值得注意的是,由于生产变化的趋同性、价格反应的滞后性和气候变化等因素,全球玉米供给和价格波动风险在2015年将加大。
With the abundant supply, the global maize price continuously declined in 2014. Meanwhile,China＇s supply and demand of maize was improved remarkably. According to the analysis, the global maize supply is expected to be abundant with price at a low level in 2015, and China＇s maize supply and demand will keep in a relatively loose situation. However, it is worthwhile to notice that the risks of global maize supply and price fluctuation will be increasing in 2015, due to the factors as follows, the similarity in production change, lag reaction to the change of price, uncertainty of climate change and so on.
出处
《农业展望》
2015年第3期10-14,共5页
Agricultural Outlook
基金
国家玉米产业技术体系(NYCYTX-02)
中国科学院重点部署项目(KZZD-EW-08-04)
关键词
玉米
产量
价格
供需变化
展望
maize
production
price
change of supply and demand
prospect
