摘要
在全球价值链时代,中间品贸易在国际贸易中的比重日益扩大,致使传统贸易核算方法无法准确评估一个国家或一个行业在国际贸易中的实际贡献。本文利用世界投入产出数据(WIOD),通过传统和增加值两种核算方法,对中日双边贸易收支情况,双边贸易重要性差异,出口结构变化以及优势产业情况进行了比较分析。研究表明:增加值核算方法下的双边贸易更趋平衡;双边贸易重要性对中国而言在下降,对日本而言则在上升;双边中间品出口增长显著,产品内的国际分工在两国之间不断深化;传统贸易核算方法高估了中日贸易结构的优化程度,尤其是制造业贡献率;中日贸易互补性明显,中国在劳动密集型产业具有优势,而日本的优势则表现在资本密集型产品和知识密集型产品上。
As the global value chains develop, the share of intermediate goods has been increasing in the international trade flows. As a result, the tradi- tional trade accounting method is not suitable for evaluating the contribution of a country or an industry. Drawing on World Input Output Data （WIOD）, this paper uses both the traditional and the value-added trade accounting systems to analyze the balances, the differences in importance, the trade structure changes and the competitive industries in China-Japan bilateral trade. The study shows that the bi- lateral trade is more balanced in the value added, and is more important to Ja- pan than to China. With intermediate trade expanding on both sides, the interna- tional intra-product segmentation is increasingly reinforced. Besides, the improve- ment of the trade structure is overestimated in the traditional accounting, especial- ly the manufacture sector. Obviously, China and Japan are complementary in the international trade, which is, china has the comparative advantage in the labor-in- tensive goods but Japan is more advantageous with the capital-intensive and knowledge-intensive goods.
出处
《国际贸易问题》
CSSCI
北大核心
2015年第4期75-84,共10页
Journal of International Trade
基金
国家留学基金委博士生联合培养项目
关键词
全球价值链
中日贸易
增加值
Global value chains
China-Japan bilateral trade
Value added
