摘要
Since the 20 thcentury,the time intervals of M ≥6.7 strong earthquakes in the SichuanYunnan region show obvious regularity.Using the years of the strong events,a twodimensional time coordinate system is generated,based on which,the time prediction model is constructed for strong earthquakes in the Sichuan-Yunnan region.Prediction analysis shows that there is risk of generating four earthquakes with M ≥ 6.7 in the Sichuan-Yunnan region in the future 16 years,and there are strong signals for M ≥6.7earthquakes for periods 2012-2021 and 2025-2029.The strong earthquakes may occur around 2014-2015,2019 and 2027.
Since the 20th century, the time intervals of M ≥ 6. 7 strong earthquakes in the Sichuan- Yunnan region show obvious regularity. Using the years of the strong events, a two- dimensional time coordinate system is generated, based on which, the time prediction model is constructed for strong earthquakes in the Sichuan-Yunnan region. Prediction analysis shows that there is risk of generating four earthquakes with M ≥ 6. 7 in the Sichuan-Yunnan region in the future 16 years, and there are strong signals for M≥ 6. 7 earthquakes for periods 2012 -2021 and 2025 -2029. The strong earthquakes may occur around 2014 -2015, 2019 and 2027.
