摘要
研究目的:对农村居民点集聚与农地流转协同关系、演化规律和内在机理进行探讨,为推动农村土地综合整治及新型城镇化建设提供定量化依据。研究方法:灰色关联分析法、非线性微分动态灰色系统建模方法和弛豫系数法。研究结果:(1)农村居民点集聚与农地流转协同关系各指标之间具有较强的相互关联、相互制约作用。农村居民点集聚类型与农民人均收入、农地流转比例等密切相关,其中集聚类型和农民人均收入之间的灰色关联度最大。(2)在农村居民点集聚与农地流转协同关系系统中,集聚类型和农民人均收入是对系统发展起到支配作用的序参量,对引导系统向更高层次的有序状态发展起到至关重要的作用。(3)在农民人均收入达到30000元,农地流转比例达到95%时,农村居民点集聚类型宜为城镇;在农民人均收入达到25000元,农地流转比例达到85%时,农村居民点集聚类型宜为集镇;在农民人均收入达到20000元,农地流转比例达到60%时,农村居民点集聚类型宜为中心村。研究结论:建立的农村居民点集聚与农地流转协同关系模型拟合效果较好,经验证具有较高的精确度,可为农村土地综合整治提供指导。
The purpose of this paper is to analyze the cooperative relationship between rural residential area concentration and rural land transfer, as well as the evolutionary and internal mechanism. Provide quantitative basis for promoting the comprehensive renovation of rural land and construction of new urbanization. Method of gray correlation analysis, nonlinear differential dynamic gray system modeling method, and the relaxation coefficient method were employed. The results showed that 1 ） the indicators of cooperative relationship between rural residential area concentration and rural land transfer had a strong correlation and mutual restraining effect. The type of rural residential area concentration was closely related to peasant per capita income, rural land transfer area, etc. The gray correlation between the type of concentration and peasant per capita income was the largest; 2） in the system of cooperative relationship between rural residential area concentration and rural land transfer, the type of concentration and peasant per capita income were the order parameter which played a dominant role in the development of the system and a crucial role in guiding the system; 3 ） when peasant per capita income reached 30,000 yuan, rural land transfer ratio reached 95%, the type of rural residential area concentration appropriate for city; when peasant per capita income reached 25,000 yuan, rural land transfer ratio reached 85%, the type of rural residential area concentration appropriate for town; when peasant per capita income reached 20,000 yuan, rural land transfer ratio reached 60%, the type of rural residential area concentration appropriate for the administrative village. The paper concluded that the fitness of cooperative relationship model between rural residential area concentration and rural land transfer gained better results. And the model had been proved with high precision. The study therefore may guide the comprehensive improvement of rural land.
出处
《中国土地科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第10期61-67,共7页
China Land Science
基金
教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(12YJA630159)
关键词
土地整治
农村居民点集聚
农地流转
协同论
灰色关联分析法
land consolidation
rural residential area concentration
rural land transfer
synergy theory
gray correlation analysis
