摘要
基于新开放宏观经济学的基础,采用1978~2013年中国货币供应量、贸易开放度与通货膨胀数据,建立了VAR模型。结果表明：三者之间存在长期稳定均衡关系,并进一步发现我国货币具有内生性,受通货膨胀的影响,分析发现贸易开放度与通货膨胀率在长期内呈负相关关系,使得在此情况下政府可通过提高贸易开放度来控制通货膨胀率。
Based on the foundation of the new open macroeconomic,the paper use the money supply,trade openness and inflation of China’s annual data from 1978 to 2013 to established the VAR model. The results showed the long- term stable equilibrium relationship among them,further find that China’s currency are endogenous,and affected by inflation. Analysis show negatively correlated between trade openness and inflation in the long term relationship,which make it possible that in this case the government can increase trade openness to control the inflation.
出处
《物流工程与管理》
2015年第1期194-196,共3页
Logistics Engineering and Management
关键词
贸易开放度
通货膨胀
脉冲响应
方差分解
trade openness
inflation
impulse response
variance decomposition
