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预期退休年龄的影响因素分析——基于CHARLS数据的实证研究 被引量:25

AN ANALYSIS ON THE DETERMINANTS OF EXPECTATION RETIREMENT AGE——Evidence from CHARLS Data
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摘要 本文基于2011年CHARLS数据,利用Multinominal Logit模型分析了45岁-60岁劳动者个人特征、配偶特征以及家庭特征对他们延迟退休意愿和无休止劳动意愿的影响。本文发现,女性、具有高级职称和农业户口的劳动者更愿意延迟退休,在企业工作、具有农业户口和受教育程度偏低的人倾向于无休止劳动。对延迟退休意愿进行性别差异分析的结果表明,男性延迟退休意愿随着自身受教育程度的提高而增加,随着妻子受教育程度的提高呈现先降低后提高的“U”型趋势。女性的延迟退休意愿随着自身受教育程度的提高而下降,但并不受丈夫的影响。无论是男性还是女性,随着受教育程度的提高,他们无休止劳动的预期均下降。针对以上结论,本文提出了相应的政策建议。 Based on the 2011 CHARLS data, this paper analyzes the effect of individual features, spouse and family characteristics on the willing of delaying retirement and ceaseless work of the people aged 45- 60 using the multinomial logit model. The results show that women, people with senior technical posts and labor with rural hukou tend to delay retirement. People working in the enterprises and with low education levels and rural hukou tend to work ceaselessly. The gender difference analysis shows that the higher the education level the later husbands expect to retire, the higher the education level the earlier wives tend to retire. The relationship between husbands' expected retirement age and wives' education level is not a simple linear form, but a U-shaped curve relationship. But this relationship is not existed between wives' expected retirement age and husbands' education level. This paper provides some suggestions about retirement policies.
作者 李琴 彭浩然
出处 《经济理论与经济管理》 CSSCI 北大核心 2015年第2期89-100,共12页 Economic Theory and Business Management
基金 国家社会科学基金(13CJY055) 国家自然科学基金(71371199)的资助
关键词 延迟退休 无休止劳动 退休年龄 Multinominal LOGIT模型 delay retirement ceaseless work retirement age;multinomial logit model
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参考文献29

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