摘要
应用数据分析法与比较分析法实证研究确定江苏省工业化中后期发展阶段,通过2002—2013年规模以上工业总产值与港口货运量、管道油运量之间的相关系数分析,以港口货运量和管道油运量的变化态势代表运输对象变动来分析确定江苏省的运输化阶段,进而采用运输化理论比较分析江苏省工业化阶段的运输化特征。结果表明,从运输对象角度看,江苏省工业化进程能够较好体现运输化阶段的特征;从货运量与货物周转量角度看,各种运输方式的表现对江苏省运输化阶段特征的显现存在明显差异,其中铁路运输与航空运输的发展滞后于工业化与运输化进程。
By using the data analysis and comparative analysis, the metaphase and late stage of industrialization development in Jiangsu Province were studied and determined, through analyzing the relative coefficient among the total output value of industries above designated size, the volume of port freight transportation and the volume of pipeline oil transportation in 2002-2013, and using the change situation of the volume of port freight transportation and the volume of pipeline oil transportation to present the change of transport objects, the transport stages in Jiangsu province were analyzed and determined, and then, the transport characteristics in each industrialization stage in Jiangsu province was comparatively analyzed by using transport theory. The result shows： from the aspect of transport object, the industrialization process in Jiangsu province could well reflect the characteristics of transport stages; from the aspects of freight transport volume and t-km volume, each transport mode has obvious difference in characteristic presentation of the transport stages, in which, the development of railway transportation and air transportation are fall behind the process of industrialization and transport.
出处
《铁道运输与经济》
北大核心
2015年第1期10-17,共8页
Railway Transport and Economy
基金
江苏省交通厅2013年度资助项目(2013Y27-06
2013Y27-07)
江苏省航海学会2011年度重点科研项目(2011A02)
关键词
工业化中期阶段
工业化后期阶段
初步运输化
完善运输化
Metaphase of Industrialization
Late Stage of Industrialization
Primary Transport
ImprovedTransport
