摘要
文章从需求的角度研究了宏观经济波动对旅游业的影响。研究结果表明,国内旅游收入对物价、人均国民收入和利率等宏观经济指标波动的富有弹性,工资收入与旅游业呈正相关,而物价与利率波动与国内旅游需求呈负相关。文章以中国四川为例进行验证,实证结果符合理论分析。另外,实证研究还发现人均国民收入和消费物价指数对旅游业具有较强的预测力。
This article studies the impact of macro-economic fluctuation on tourism from the perspective of demand.The findings show,with Sichuan Province as an empirical case,that domestic tourism income proves elastic to macroscopical economic index such as price,national income per capita and interest rate.Wage income is positive related to tourism,while price and interest rate fluctuations are negatively correlated to the domestic tourism demand.In this paper,the example of Sichuan Province validates the theoretical analysis is consistent with the empirical result.Additionally,the study finds that national income per capita and the local consumer＇s price index have strong predictive power to Sichuan tourism.
出处
《乐山师范学院学报》
2014年第12期83-90,共8页
Journal of Leshan Normal University
关键词
经济周期
四川旅游业
关联影响
Economic Cycle
Sichuan Tourism
Interaction and Impact
