摘要
In order to simulate the evolution of affordable housing land use a dynamic model that combines cellular automata CA and a multi-agent system MAS is established.This paper aims to utilize the approach of decision factors on site selection of affordable housing through a literature review to construct a hierarchy model of those factors identifying the weight of each factor by an analytic hierarchy process AHP .Based on those weight factors the CA-MAS model is designed. Nanjing city is taken as an example to verify the feasibility of the model.The results show that the CA-MAS model is pragmatic and effective in simulating evolution of affordable housing land use which also promotes the fundamental understanding and perception of the development of affordable housing and urbanization.
为了模拟保障房用地的演变过程,建立了元胞自动机(CA)和多智能体(MAS)相结合的模型.通过文献综述法,对保障房选址的决策因素进行梳理,构建关于保障房选址决策因素的层次结构模型,运用层次分析法(AHP)得出各层次因素的权重;基于各因素及其权重,建立CA和MAS相结合的模型;最后,以南京市主城区为例,验证模型的可行性.结果表明:CA-MAS模型能够对保障房建设用地进行有效的演化模拟,对于认识、理解保障房的发展和城市化进程具有重要的理论和实践意义.
基金
The National Social Science Foundation of China(No.14AJY013)
the Scientific Innovation Research of College Graduates in Jiangsu Province(No.CXLX13_126)
