摘要
针对央行2012年4月起发布的新的调控指标社会融资规模,利用移动平均与相关方法进行研究,通过搜集2012年以来的数据,结合选取本人认为的其他重要宏观经济数据,如货币供应量M1、M2,企业商品价格指数CGPI指标比较,力图说明其对宏观经济的影响;在此基础上,分析了社会融资规模的结构对宏观经济的影响,并进而提出当前社会融资规模是央行货币政策的制定极为重要的参照指标,需要审慎分析。
This paper attempts to prove that some data affectmicro economy through some relevant research methods such as moving average. The data includes the social financing size according to the newly issued control index by the central bank in April of 2012, the statistics collected since 2012 and other data of micro economy which is personally taken as important ones, for examples, the currency supply M1 and M2, the Corporate Goods Price Index CGPI for target comparison. Based on the above, it analyzes the influences of the structure of social financing size over micro economy andpoints out that the present social financing size is a very important reference for the currency policy-making by the central bank, which demands careful and prudent analysis.
出处
《中国政法大学学报》
CSSCI
2014年第6期67-73,158,共7页
Journal Of CUPL
基金
2012年北京市哲学社会科学规划项目--"民营经济与国有经济法律保护差异性的制度经济学分析--基于北京市的调研"(12JGB064)的研究成果
