摘要
根据吉林省2003—2012年经济发展主要指标(以人均GDP代表)和工业"三废"主要污染物(工业废水、工业废气、工业SO2和工业固废)排放量的统计资料,进行环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC曲线)模拟分析。通过研究发现:(1)吉林省2003—2012年经济增长主要来源于第二产业,经济与环境之间存在非协调发展问题,其经济指标与环境指标的拟合曲线并不完全具有EKC曲线特征;(2)吉林省工业废水、废气污染状况位于EKC曲线左侧,呈上升趋势,应加大力度控制污染排放;(3)吉林省工业SO2、固体废弃物污染状况开始向良性化方向发展,但仍要长时间加大控制力度,使污染跨过"转折点",防止EKC曲线的"转折点"演变成"波动点"。
We make the environmental Kuznets model ( EKC ) simulation curve, according to the main economic development indicators ( by GDP per capita ) and industrial pollutants "three wastes" ( waste gas, industrial waste water, industrial SO2 and industrial solid waste emissions) statistics in Jilin Province during the years of 2003-2012. Through the study, we found that (1) during 2003-2012, the second industry was the main source of Jilin Province economic growth, non-coordinated development exist in the economy and environment, the curve fitting the economic index and environmental index does not completely have the characteristics of EKC curve;(2) Jilin industrial waste water and waste gas pollution are to the left of EKC curve on the rise, the relevant departments should intensify efforts to control pollution emissions; ( 3 ) the conditions of Jilin SO2 and industrial solid waste pollution are both becoming better. But it will take a long time to strengthen efforts to control pollution to cross the "turning point", preventing EKC "turning point" evolving into "fluctuation".
出处
《中国石油大学学报（社会科学版）》
2014年第6期26-30,共5页
Journal of China University of Petroleum (Edition of Social Sciences)
基金
福建省社会科学规划重点项目(2012A021)
关键词
经济增长
“三废”污染
非协调
EKC模型
economic growth
' three wastes' pollution
non-coordination
EKC model
