摘要
随着工业化、城市化进程加快,农村劳动力流动规模快速增长,农民外出务工与转移步伐呈现加快现象。在市场化改革快速推进的趋势下,农村劳动力流动对农户粮食生产决策环境产生了重要影响,对粮食生产波动的影响日益凸现。为此,从农户供给反应行为入手,构建农村劳动力流动对粮食总产量、粮食平均产量的供给反应模型,采用省域动态面板数据,利用GMM方法实证分析农村劳动力流动对粮食生产影响的途径与程度。研究发现,农村劳动力流动对粮食总产量产生了重要影响,非农就业对粮食生产具有显著负向影响,而人口迁移对粮食生产具有一定促进作用。
With the accelerated process of the reform of China＇s rural labor migration policies , the mobility of the rural labor increases significantly ,the migration scale of China＇s rural labor grew rapidly , and the behavior of rural labor force has been changed greatly ,w hich has had a great impact on the farmers＇production behavior .Therefore ,this article will focus on the impact of the rural labor migration on agricultural production .The results reveal that the rural labor flow has an important impact on agricultural production ,and there is a big difference between different flow patterns of rural labor . Non - farm employment has a significant negative impact ,and population migration has a certain positive impact on agricultural production .
出处
《统计与信息论坛》
CSSCI
2014年第10期24-30,共7页
Journal of Statistics and Information
基金
国家自然科学基金青年科学基金项目<基于农户吸收能力约束视角的农业引进技术转化效率与应用绩效研究>(71203087)
教育部人文社会科学青年基金项目<外资进入
市场结构冲击与粮食产业安全研究>(12YJC790092)
