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时间约束下的某型火箭炮毁伤概率模型及仿真

Modeling and Simulation for Time-constrained Damage Probability of MLRS
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摘要 针对目前计算火箭炮毁伤概率只考虑射击精度和目标特性及弹药量等因素,而不考虑目标机动和对抗因素、生存能力的不足,基于射击理论和火力对抗理论,建立了考虑时间约束的火箭炮营毁伤概率模型,对想定中考虑目标机动及生存因素等时间约束的毁伤概率进行了仿真计算,仿真结果表明了模型的有效性以及目标机动火力对抗决定的生存需求使火箭炮毁伤概率具有时间敏感性。 Aiming at the shortcomings of the present damage probability model of multiple launch rocket system (MLRS)that ignores factors such as targets movement and viability while considers only factors like shooting accuracy,target characteristics,and amount of ammunition,a time-constraint damage probability model of MLRS is presented based on artillery firepower theory and firepower counterwork theory. The damage probability of MLRS in scenarios that containing time-constraint factors is computed based on the new model. Simulation results show the effectiveness of the model,and demonstrate that factors like targets maneuver and survival demand play an important role in damage probability of MLRS battalion and make the damage probability time sensitive.
出处 《火力与指挥控制》 CSCD 北大核心 2014年第8期147-150,共4页 Fire Control & Command Control
基金 总装重点基金资助项目(2010SY4303002)
关键词 时间约束 毁伤概率 射击精度 弹药消耗 目标机动 time-constraints damage probability shooting accuracy ammunition consumption target maneuver
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