摘要
基于对城市模型领域重要学者麦克·巴蒂的访谈,对城市模型的发展历程、现状与前景进行了回顾、评述与展望。介绍城市模型的发展脉络,分析20世纪第一次发展高潮中城市模型在规划应用中的实际困难与受到批判的原因。梳理了当前第二次城市模型发展高潮期的模型门类,并指出精细化城市模型是当前研究热点,模型建模方法将更加侧重"自下而上"与"自上而下"的结合、"问题导向型"以及应对城市日益增长的复杂性与不确定性。同时大数据时代的来临也为城市模型的发展带来了重要契机,但相关研究需要吸取第一轮研究热潮中的经验教训,促进城市模型与规划实践的结合。最后介绍了麦克·巴蒂的城市"新科学"思想、城市定量研究教育的起步以及新近成立的以定量城市研究为着力点的北京城市实验室。
Based on an interview to Mike Batty, a leading scholar in urban modeling, this paper reviews the history of urban models, comments on their present developments, and pictures their prospects. The first section briefly introduces the family trees of urban models and then looks further into the causes for their failure in planning application in the first upsurge of research in the 1960s and 1970s. The second section summarizes the current development of urban models, which can be counted as the second upsurge of research. It is estimated that more research attention will be paid to building dynamic, disaggregate, micro and problemoriented models, with a combination of top-down and bottom-up modeling methods, which can be more capable of tackling the growing urban complexity and uncertainty. Meanwhile, the ＂big data era＂ also poses more opportunities for the development of urban models. The last section introduces three new trends in the theoretical, educational, and research development of urban models, i.e., the idea of ＂new science of cities＂ by Mike Batty, the start-up of quantitative urban research education, and the establishment of Beijing City Lab.
出处
《城市规划》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第8期63-70,共8页
City Planning Review
