摘要
本文旨在从政治信任类型、政治信任稳定性、政治信任来源等方面全方位考察当代中国公众的政治信任样态,以期从一个侧面回应国内外学术界关于当代中国公众政治信任水平的理论论争。为此,以期望和风险为核心理论视角,以东亚民主化调查中关于中国大陆的数据为样本进行统计分析。统计分析结果显示,当代中国公众对于中央政府的信任要高于对地方政府的信任,对于政治体系执政能力的信任要高于其为民执政意愿与品质的信任,存在着"中央-地方"与"能力-意愿"双重差序信任格局;当代中国公众对政治体系的信任更多倚重于政治体系的过往声誉与当下的表现,而不是依据是否存在对政治主体的失信惩罚机制的判断,公众的政治信任稳定性不高,比较容易因为社会事件和思想风潮而出现波动;在政治信任来源方面,公众对政治体系治理绩效的感知和儒家文化传统会影响公众的政治信任,但是,公众对政府治理绩效的评价对政治信任的影响力度更大,是公众政治信任的主要来源。基于上述统计结果,发现学界对政治信任的粗线条或"省略式"测量是造成政治信任水平测量结果差异的重要原因之一。
The objective of this paper is to explore the level,type,stability and origin of the public political trust in contemporary China. On the base of this analysis,the paper aims to explain why there have been some different conclusions on the level of Chinese political trust in contemporary social research. An quantitative study by taking the data of East Asia Democratic Survey(2008)as data was conducted by this paper. The result of quantitative analysis indicates that the public have more trust to the central government than to the local government and have more trust to the governmental ability of the political system than to the quality and motivation to serve the public of the political system. And there is a 'double structure of grades' both at the perspective of 'central-local' and at the perspective of 'ability-morality'. In addition,the political trust of Chinese people due more to the past propagation and contemporary performance than to if there is a system to punish the action depart from the promise. This indicates that the stability of public political trust is not so good that it tend to change with some social thoughts and event. At the aspect of origin,though both the perception to the governance performance of public and Confucianism have effect on public political trust,public perception to the governance performance has more influence than the Confucianism. On the base of the above analysis,the paper demonstrates that the cause of the different opinions on the level of the public political trust of contemporary China mainly due to the 'omitted measurement'. The limitation of this study is that it is not able to explore the trend of the public political trust as a result of cross sectional data. The inspection to the public political trust from the perspective of risk and expectation may enlarge and deepen the comprehension on the public political trust of social researchers.
出处
《公共管理学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第2期16-26,139-140,共11页
Journal of Public Management
基金
国家社会科学基金青年项目(11CZZ003)
福建省高等学校新世纪优秀人才计划
关键词
政治信任
期望
风险
治理绩效
Political Trust,Expectation,Risk,Governance Performance
