摘要
用非线性预报的方法 ,作西太平洋、南海、以及登陆我国、登陆广东热带气旋的短期气候预测 ,用逐日气压场作登陆广东热带气旋的时段和地段以及南海海面热带气旋出现的时间的气候预测。对近 3年的热带气旋的短期气候预报进行检验 。
By use of the non-linear forecast method, tropical cyclone that generated in the Western Pacific or South China Sea (SCS) and landed in Guangdong and other places in China are predicted. Using the data of daily pressure field, the time and location of tropical cyclone that landed in Guangdong and the time of occurrence of tropical cyclone in SCS are also predicted. The tests of short-term climate prediction of tropical cyclone in recent 3 years get a satisfactory result.
出处
《灾害学》
CSCD
2002年第2期32-36,共5页
Journal of Catastrophology
关键词
热带气旋
气候预测
效果检验
tropical cyclone
climate prediction
result test
