摘要
运用矢量夹角模型的分析方法研究了2007～2016年北京市林业产业结构变动稳定程度,同时运用灰色关联分析的方法研究了2007～2016年北京市林业产业间及产业内部构成情况。结果显示:北京市林业产业结构在2010年和2012年呈现了两次比较大的波动后,最终趋于稳定状态。同时,2007～2016年北京市林业三大产业产值的灰色关联排序为:第一产业>第三产业>第二产业,林业第三产业近年来发展迅速,第三产业产值占比逐年增加,应当在长期立足第一产业的同时,向周边地区转移第二产业,优先并大力发展第三产业。
The vector angle model was applied in this paper to study the 2007-2016 stability of forestry industrial structure in Beijing and the grey relevance analysis was applied to study the 2007-2016 output value structure of Beijing forestry industry and industrial internal composition. The results showed that after two major fluctuations in2010 and 2012, Beijing’s forestry industry structure finally stabilized. The sort of forestry industry output based on gray correlation was: First industry > tertiary industry > secondary industry. The tertiary industry of forestry has developed rapidly in recent years, and the proportion of the output value of the tertiary industry has increased year by year. It is necessary to develop the primary industry for a long time, transfer the second industry to the surrounding areas and develop the tertiary industry firstly and vigorously.
作者
姚珺
王刚
刘珉
Yao Jun;Wang Gang;Liu Min(School of Economics and Management,Beijing Forestry University,Beijing 100083;China National Forestry-Grassland Economics and Development R.esearch Center,Beijing 100714)
出处
《林业经济》
北大核心
2019年第1期41-47,54,共8页
Forestry Economics
基金
国家林业和草原局重大软科学项目"林业与绿色经济评价指标体系研究"(编号:2018-R28)
关键词
矢量夹角模型
灰色关联度
林业产业
产业结构
the vector angle model
gray correlation
forestry industry
industrial structure
